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Prediction markets

16 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yu Deng
Yu Deng97%
Hong Wang
Hong Wang97%9 more
$690KVol. Jul 30science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"
4-5"31%
3-4"
3-4"30%4 more
$26KVol. Jul 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC80%
1.25–1.29ºC12%4 more
$36KVol. Aug 1science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

4%

chance

YesNo
$121KVol. Mar 31science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

525-550mm
525-550mm33%
575-600mm31%8 more
$16KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

August 30
August 3052%
December 31
December 3149%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

≤8
28%YesNo
9
10%YesNo
NEW $922.25Vol. Jul 26science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest87%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest10%2 more
$80KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Seattle in July?

Precipitation in Seattle in July?

<0.5"
<0.5"63%
2-2.5"
2-2.5"13%5 more
$415.14Vol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+99%
90-100mm1%6 more
$13KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

<30mm
<30mm85%
70-80mm
70-80mm6%5 more
$5.9KVol. Jul 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10055%
100–12937%7 more
$1.4KVol. Aug 1science